The PA
Blueprint
Blueprint
67 COUNTIES
2028 INITIATIVE
2028 INITIATIVE
York County
Central · Pennsylvania
York County is currently classified as a Slipping county, with steady erosion of the Democratic registration advantage. Democrats trail by 72,364 voters, compared to a 44,889-voter Republican advantage in 2016. To put Pennsylvania back on track for 2028, York County needs 23,073 net new Democratic registrations.
2028 Registration Quota
+23,073
Net new Democratic registrants
Dem Advantage · 2000 → 2026
2000
−37K
PEAK · 2008
−31K
NOW · 2026
−72K
Registration · The Roll
Dem registered96K
Rep registered168K
Unaffiliated Registered53K
Dem velocity (per yr)−636
Rep velocity (per yr)+2.7K
Mobility score21.5%
Pop growth (2010→2026)29.0%
Proj. Dem · 202896K
Proj. Rep · 2028181K
GAP WIDENING · Reps outpace Dems by +3.4K/yr. At this pace another +6.7K by 2028.
Retention · Voters at Risk
6,078inactive Democrats
6.33% of York's Democratic base
For context: 6,696 inactive Republicans (3.98% of R base)
Roughly 1 in 20 of York's registered Democrats is on the federal cancellation path.
Inactive voters who don't vote in two consecutive federal elections face cancellation under federal law.
Vote Model · 2024 → 2028
2024 vote margin−63K
Dem conversion (2024)92.3%
Rep conversion (2024)90.0%
Proj. 2028 · trended−88K
Proj. 2028 · weak−104K
TRENDED = post-2016 conversion drift continues · WEAK = Dem conversion falls to 75% (bad-candidate floor)
⚠ TAKE ACTION
4 things you can do today
01Register or update your registration
If you're not registered Democrat in PA, start there. 2 minutes at the official portal.
PA Voter Services →
02Volunteer in York County
York needs 23,073 net new Democratic registrants. That doesn't happen behind a screen.
Find opportunities →
03Contact York County Dems
The county committee is the unit responsible for this quota. Attend a meeting. Run for Precinct Captain.
York Dems →
04Convert unaffiliated voters
York has 52,757 unaffiliated voters (16.6% of the rolls) — already registered, mostly via DMV. They can switch in 2 minutes. They just need a reason.
Party switch form →
The slide is not inevitable. Organize now.
YORK QUOTA: +23,073 · STATEWIDE: +1,000,000 BY 2028