The PA
Blueprint
Blueprint
67 COUNTIES
2028 INITIATIVE
2028 INITIATIVE
Warren County
NW · Pennsylvania
Warren County is currently classified in ALARM status, reflecting a severe post-2016 registration collapse. Democrats trail by 8,903 voters, compared to a 4,616-voter Republican advantage in 2016. To put Pennsylvania back on track for 2028, Warren County needs 6,364 net new Democratic registrations.
2028 Registration Quota
+6,364
Net new Democratic registrants
Dem Advantage · 2000 → 2026
2000
−3.8K
PEAK · 2008
−2.2K
NOW · 2026
−8.9K
Registration · The Roll
Dem registered6.4K
Rep registered15K
Unaffiliated Registered2.5K
Dem velocity (per yr)−423
Rep velocity (per yr)+54
Mobility score11.1%
Pop growth (2010→2026)4.6%
Proj. Dem · 20285.7K
Proj. Rep · 202816K
GAP WIDENING · Reps outpace Dems by +477/yr. At this pace another +954 by 2028.
Retention · Voters at Risk
218inactive Democrats
3.43% of Warren's Democratic base
For context: 429 inactive Republicans (2.81% of R base)
Inactive voters who don't vote in two consecutive federal elections face cancellation under federal law.
Vote Model · 2024 → 2028
2024 vote margin−8.1K
Dem conversion (2024)90.0%
Rep conversion (2024)90.6%
Proj. 2028 · trended−11K
Proj. 2028 · weak−12K
TRENDED = post-2016 conversion drift continues · WEAK = Dem conversion falls to 75% (bad-candidate floor)
⚠ TAKE ACTION
4 things you can do today
01Register or update your registration
If you're not registered Democrat in PA, start there. 2 minutes at the official portal.
PA Voter Services →
02Volunteer in Warren County
Warren needs 6,364 net new Democratic registrants. That doesn't happen behind a screen.
Find opportunities →
03Contact Warren County Dems
The county committee is the unit responsible for this quota. Attend a meeting. Run for Precinct Captain.
Warren Dems →
04Convert unaffiliated voters
Warren has 2,550 unaffiliated voters (15.4% of the rolls) — already registered, mostly via DMV. They can switch in 2 minutes. They just need a reason.
Party switch form →
This is a 911 county. Show up.
WARREN QUOTA: +6,364 · STATEWIDE: +1,000,000 BY 2028