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2028 INITIATIVE
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Philadelphia County

SE · Pennsylvania

Philadelphia County is currently classified as an Anchor county — a stronghold that must be defended. Democrats lead by 642,933 voters, compared to a 727,534-voter Democratic advantage in 2016. To put Pennsylvania back on track for 2028, Philadelphia County needs 106,825 net new Democratic registrations.

2028 Registration Quota
+106,825
Net new Democratic registrants
Dem Advantage · 2000 → 2026
2000
+562K
PEAK · 2008
+734K
NOW · 2026
+643K
Registration · The Roll
Dem registered774K
Rep registered131K
Unaffiliated Registered148K
Dem velocity (per yr)−8.3K
Rep velocity (per yr)+892
Mobility score13.2%
Pop growth (2010→2026)9.5%
Proj. Dem · 2028768K
Proj. Rep · 2028137K
GAP WIDENING · Reps outpace Dems by +9.2K/yr. At this pace another +18.4K by 2028.
Retention · Voters at Risk
84,172inactive Democrats
10.87% of Philadelphia's Democratic base
For context: 12,930 inactive Republicans (9.84% of R base)

More than 1 in 10 of Philadelphia's registered Democrats is on the federal cancellation path.

Inactive voters who don't vote in two consecutive federal elections face cancellation under federal law.
Vote Model · 2024 → 2028
2024 vote margin+424K
Dem conversion (2024)70.3%
Rep conversion (2024)106.0%
Proj. 2028 · trended+570K
Proj. 2028 · weak+443K
TRENDED = post-2016 conversion drift continues · WEAK = Dem conversion falls to 75% (bad-candidate floor)
⚠ TAKE ACTION
4 things you can do today
You set the standard. Don't let it slip.
PHILADELPHIA QUOTA: +106,825 · STATEWIDE: +1,000,000 BY 2028
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