The PA
Blueprint
Blueprint
67 COUNTIES
2028 INITIATIVE
2028 INITIATIVE
Mercer County
NW · Pennsylvania
Mercer County is currently classified in ALARM status, reflecting a severe post-2016 registration collapse. Democrats trail by 15,157 voters, compared to a 1,049-voter Democratic advantage in 2016. To put Pennsylvania back on track for 2028, Mercer County needs 8,717 net new Democratic registrations.
2028 Registration Quota
+8,717
Net new Democratic registrants
Dem Advantage · 2000 → 2026
2000
+6.1K
PEAK · 2008
+7.9K
NOW · 2026
−15K
Registration · The Roll
Dem registered23K
Rep registered38K
Unaffiliated Registered8.4K
Dem velocity (per yr)−1.0K
Rep velocity (per yr)+650
Mobility score11.3%
Pop growth (2010→2026)8.6%
Proj. Dem · 202821K
Proj. Rep · 202841K
GAP WIDENING · Reps outpace Dems by +1.7K/yr. At this pace another +3.4K by 2028.
Retention · Voters at Risk
1,296inactive Democrats
5.60% of Mercer's Democratic base
For context: 1,324 inactive Republicans (3.46% of R base)
Inactive voters who don't vote in two consecutive federal elections face cancellation under federal law.
Vote Model · 2024 → 2028
2024 vote margin−18K
Dem conversion (2024)81.2%
Rep conversion (2024)97.2%
Proj. 2028 · trended−20K
Proj. 2028 · weak−24K
TRENDED = post-2016 conversion drift continues · WEAK = Dem conversion falls to 75% (bad-candidate floor)
⚠ TAKE ACTION
4 things you can do today
01Register or update your registration
If you're not registered Democrat in PA, start there. 2 minutes at the official portal.
PA Voter Services →
02Volunteer in Mercer County
Mercer needs 8,717 net new Democratic registrants. That doesn't happen behind a screen.
Find opportunities →
03Contact Mercer County Dems
The county committee is the unit responsible for this quota. Attend a meeting. Run for Precinct Captain.
Mercer Dems →
04Convert unaffiliated voters
Mercer has 8,356 unaffiliated voters (13.2% of the rolls) — already registered, mostly via DMV. They can switch in 2 minutes. They just need a reason.
Party switch form →
This is a 911 county. Show up.
MERCER QUOTA: +8,717 · STATEWIDE: +1,000,000 BY 2028