The PA
Blueprint
Blueprint
67 COUNTIES
2028 INITIATIVE
2028 INITIATIVE
Lycoming County
NCentral · Pennsylvania
Lycoming County is currently classified as a Slipping county, with steady erosion of the Democratic registration advantage. Democrats trail by 25,692 voters, compared to a 15,683-voter Republican advantage in 2016. To put Pennsylvania back on track for 2028, Lycoming County needs 10,176 net new Democratic registrations.
2028 Registration Quota
+10,176
Net new Democratic registrants
Dem Advantage · 2000 → 2026
2000
−11K
PEAK · 2008
−9.8K
NOW · 2026
−26K
Registration · The Roll
Dem registered18K
Rep registered44K
Unaffiliated Registered7.8K
Dem velocity (per yr)−409
Rep velocity (per yr)+677
Mobility score15.7%
Pop growth (2010→2026)20.1%
Proj. Dem · 202818K
Proj. Rep · 202847K
GAP WIDENING · Reps outpace Dems by +1.1K/yr. At this pace another +2.2K by 2028.
Retention · Voters at Risk
1,484inactive Democrats
8.17% of Lycoming's Democratic base
For context: 1,801 inactive Republicans (4.11% of R base)
Inactive voters who don't vote in two consecutive federal elections face cancellation under federal law.
Vote Model · 2024 → 2028
2024 vote margin−25K
Dem conversion (2024)90.4%
Rep conversion (2024)94.1%
Proj. 2028 · trended−30K
Proj. 2028 · weak−32K
TRENDED = post-2016 conversion drift continues · WEAK = Dem conversion falls to 75% (bad-candidate floor)
⚠ TAKE ACTION
4 things you can do today
01Register or update your registration
If you're not registered Democrat in PA, start there. 2 minutes at the official portal.
PA Voter Services →
02Volunteer in Lycoming County
Lycoming needs 10,176 net new Democratic registrants. That doesn't happen behind a screen.
Find opportunities →
03Contact Lycoming County Dems
The county committee is the unit responsible for this quota. Attend a meeting. Run for Precinct Captain.
Lycoming Dems →
04Convert unaffiliated voters
Lycoming has 7,820 unaffiliated voters (12.7% of the rolls) — already registered, mostly via DMV. They can switch in 2 minutes. They just need a reason.
Party switch form →
The slide is not inevitable. Organize now.
LYCOMING QUOTA: +10,176 · STATEWIDE: +1,000,000 BY 2028