The PA
Blueprint
Blueprint
67 COUNTIES
2028 INITIATIVE
2028 INITIATIVE
Luzerne County
NE · Pennsylvania
Luzerne County is currently classified in ALARM status, reflecting a severe post-2016 registration collapse. Democrats trail by 6,068 voters, compared to a 33,939-voter Democratic advantage in 2016. To put Pennsylvania back on track for 2028, Luzerne County needs 17,863 net new Democratic registrations.
2028 Registration Quota
+17,863
Net new Democratic registrants
Dem Advantage · 2000 → 2026
2000
+42K
PEAK · 2008
+50K
NOW · 2026
−6.1K
Registration · The Roll
Dem registered85K
Rep registered91K
Unaffiliated Registered26K
Dem velocity (per yr)−2.4K
Rep velocity (per yr)+1.8K
Mobility score13.2%
Pop growth (2010→2026)13.3%
Proj. Dem · 202882K
Proj. Rep · 202898K
GAP WIDENING · Reps outpace Dems by +4.2K/yr. At this pace another +8.4K by 2028.
Retention · Voters at Risk
5,018inactive Democrats
5.91% of Luzerne's Democratic base
For context: 3,733 inactive Republicans (4.10% of R base)
Roughly 1 in 20 of Luzerne's registered Democrats is on the federal cancellation path.
Inactive voters who don't vote in two consecutive federal elections face cancellation under federal law.
Vote Model · 2024 → 2028
2024 vote margin−30K
Dem conversion (2024)70.4%
Rep conversion (2024)101.1%
Proj. 2028 · trended−20K
Proj. 2028 · weak−33K
TRENDED = post-2016 conversion drift continues · WEAK = Dem conversion falls to 75% (bad-candidate floor)
⚠ TAKE ACTION
4 things you can do today
01Register or update your registration
If you're not registered Democrat in PA, start there. 2 minutes at the official portal.
PA Voter Services →
02Volunteer in Luzerne County
Luzerne needs 17,863 net new Democratic registrants. That doesn't happen behind a screen.
Find opportunities →
03Contact Luzerne County Dems
The county committee is the unit responsible for this quota. Attend a meeting. Run for Precinct Captain.
Luzerne Dems →
04Convert unaffiliated voters
Luzerne has 25,650 unaffiliated voters (13.1% of the rolls) — already registered, mostly via DMV. They can switch in 2 minutes. They just need a reason.
Party switch form →
This is a 911 county. Show up.
LUZERNE QUOTA: +17,863 · STATEWIDE: +1,000,000 BY 2028