The PA
Blueprint
Blueprint
67 COUNTIES
2028 INITIATIVE
2028 INITIATIVE
Lebanon County
Central · Pennsylvania
Lebanon County is currently classified as a Slipping county, with steady erosion of the Democratic registration advantage. Democrats trail by 27,296 voters, compared to a 19,901-voter Republican advantage in 2016. To put Pennsylvania back on track for 2028, Lebanon County needs 12,933 net new Democratic registrations.
2028 Registration Quota
+12,933
Net new Democratic registrants
Dem Advantage · 2000 → 2026
2000
−21K
PEAK · 2008
−17K
NOW · 2026
−27K
Registration · The Roll
Dem registered25K
Rep registered53K
Unaffiliated Registered12K
Dem velocity (per yr)−136
Rep velocity (per yr)+692
Mobility score19.3%
Pop growth (2010→2026)26.0%
Proj. Dem · 202826K
Proj. Rep · 202856K
GAP WIDENING · Reps outpace Dems by +828/yr. At this pace another +1.7K by 2028.
Retention · Voters at Risk
1,648inactive Democrats
6.51% of Lebanon's Democratic base
For context: 1,586 inactive Republicans (3.01% of R base)
Inactive voters who don't vote in two consecutive federal elections face cancellation under federal law.
Vote Model · 2024 → 2028
2024 vote margin−24K
Dem conversion (2024)92.7%
Rep conversion (2024)90.2%
Proj. 2028 · trended−30K
Proj. 2028 · weak−35K
TRENDED = post-2016 conversion drift continues · WEAK = Dem conversion falls to 75% (bad-candidate floor)
⚠ TAKE ACTION
4 things you can do today
01Register or update your registration
If you're not registered Democrat in PA, start there. 2 minutes at the official portal.
PA Voter Services →
02Volunteer in Lebanon County
Lebanon needs 12,933 net new Democratic registrants. That doesn't happen behind a screen.
Find opportunities →
03Contact Lebanon County Dems
The county committee is the unit responsible for this quota. Attend a meeting. Run for Precinct Captain.
Lebanon Dems →
04Convert unaffiliated voters
Lebanon has 12,053 unaffiliated voters (14.8% of the rolls) — already registered, mostly via DMV. They can switch in 2 minutes. They just need a reason.
Party switch form →
The slide is not inevitable. Organize now.
LEBANON QUOTA: +12,933 · STATEWIDE: +1,000,000 BY 2028