The PA
Blueprint
Blueprint
67 COUNTIES
2028 INITIATIVE
2028 INITIATIVE
Lancaster County
Central · Pennsylvania
Lancaster County is currently classified as an Active county, requiring organizing work to hold ground. Democrats trail by 71,455 voters, compared to a 66,193-voter Republican advantage in 2016. To put Pennsylvania back on track for 2028, Lancaster County needs 24,605 net new Democratic registrations.
2028 Registration Quota
+24,605
Net new Democratic registrants
Dem Advantage · 2000 → 2026
2000
−98K
PEAK · 2020
−66K
NOW · 2026
−71K
Registration · The Roll
Dem registered113K
Rep registered184K
Unaffiliated Registered51K
Dem velocity (per yr)+376
Rep velocity (per yr)+1.4K
Mobility score20.3%
Pop growth (2010→2026)26.7%
Proj. Dem · 2028115K
Proj. Rep · 2028192K
GAP WIDENING · Reps outpace Dems by +1.1K/yr. At this pace another +2.1K by 2028.
Retention · Voters at Risk
5,861inactive Democrats
5.21% of Lancaster's Democratic base
For context: 5,517 inactive Republicans (3.00% of R base)
Roughly 1 in 20 of Lancaster's registered Democrats is on the federal cancellation path.
Inactive voters who don't vote in two consecutive federal elections face cancellation under federal law.
Vote Model · 2024 → 2028
2024 vote margin−46K
Dem conversion (2024)104.7%
Rep conversion (2024)88.8%
Proj. 2028 · trended−81K
Proj. 2028 · weak−100K
TRENDED = post-2016 conversion drift continues · WEAK = Dem conversion falls to 75% (bad-candidate floor)
⚠ TAKE ACTION
4 things you can do today
01Register or update your registration
If you're not registered Democrat in PA, start there. 2 minutes at the official portal.
PA Voter Services →
02Volunteer in Lancaster County
Lancaster needs 24,605 net new Democratic registrants. That doesn't happen behind a screen.
Find opportunities →
03Contact Lancaster County Dems
The county committee is the unit responsible for this quota. Attend a meeting. Run for Precinct Captain.
Lancaster Dems →
04Convert unaffiliated voters
Lancaster has 50,882 unaffiliated voters (16.1% of the rolls) — already registered, mostly via DMV. They can switch in 2 minutes. They just need a reason.
Party switch form →
No county sits this out.
LANCASTER QUOTA: +24,605 · STATEWIDE: +1,000,000 BY 2028