The PA
Blueprint
Blueprint
67 COUNTIES
2028 INITIATIVE
2028 INITIATIVE
Lackawanna County
NE · Pennsylvania
Lackawanna County is currently classified as a Slipping county, with steady erosion of the Democratic registration advantage. Democrats lead by 23,991 voters, compared to a 48,493-voter Democratic advantage in 2016. To put Pennsylvania back on track for 2028, Lackawanna County needs 15,828 net new Democratic registrations.
2028 Registration Quota
+15,828
Net new Democratic registrants
Dem Advantage · 2000 → 2026
2000
+47K
PEAK · 2008
+59K
NOW · 2026
+24K
Registration · The Roll
Dem registered76K
Rep registered52K
Unaffiliated Registered17K
Dem velocity (per yr)−1.4K
Rep velocity (per yr)+1.1K
Mobility score11.6%
Pop growth (2010→2026)10.9%
Proj. Dem · 202874K
Proj. Rep · 202856K
GAP WIDENING · Reps outpace Dems by +2.5K/yr. At this pace another +5.0K by 2028.
Retention · Voters at Risk
5,442inactive Democrats
7.13% of Lackawanna's Democratic base
For context: 3,386 inactive Republicans (6.48% of R base)
Roughly 1 in 20 of Lackawanna's registered Democrats is on the federal cancellation path.
Inactive voters who don't vote in two consecutive federal elections face cancellation under federal law.
Vote Model · 2024 → 2028
2024 vote margin+3.2K
Dem conversion (2024)75.1%
Rep conversion (2024)107.6%
Proj. 2028 · trended+14K
Proj. 2028 · weak+1.6K
TRENDED = post-2016 conversion drift continues · WEAK = Dem conversion falls to 75% (bad-candidate floor)
⚠ TAKE ACTION
4 things you can do today
01Register or update your registration
If you're not registered Democrat in PA, start there. 2 minutes at the official portal.
PA Voter Services →
02Volunteer in Lackawanna County
Lackawanna needs 15,828 net new Democratic registrants. That doesn't happen behind a screen.
Find opportunities →
03Contact Lackawanna County Dems
The county committee is the unit responsible for this quota. Attend a meeting. Run for Precinct Captain.
Lackawanna Dems →
04Convert unaffiliated voters
Lackawanna has 16,985 unaffiliated voters (12.0% of the rolls) — already registered, mostly via DMV. They can switch in 2 minutes. They just need a reason.
Party switch form →
The slide is not inevitable. Organize now.
LACKAWANNA QUOTA: +15,828 · STATEWIDE: +1,000,000 BY 2028