The PA
Blueprint
Blueprint
67 COUNTIES
2028 INITIATIVE
2028 INITIATIVE
Cumberland County
Central · Pennsylvania
Cumberland County is currently classified as an Active county, requiring organizing work to hold ground. Democrats trail by 27,232 voters, compared to a 29,607-voter Republican advantage in 2016. To put Pennsylvania back on track for 2028, Cumberland County needs 18,753 net new Democratic registrations.
2028 Registration Quota
+18,753
Net new Democratic registrants
Dem Advantage · 2000 → 2026
2000
−38K
PEAK · 2008
−26K
NOW · 2026
−27K
Registration · The Roll
Dem registered61K
Rep registered88K
Unaffiliated Registered27K
Dem velocity (per yr)+608
Rep velocity (per yr)+569
Mobility score21.5%
Pop growth (2010→2026)30.0%
Proj. Dem · 202865K
Proj. Rep · 202894K
Retention · Voters at Risk
3,610inactive Democrats
5.90% of Cumberland's Democratic base
For context: 3,310 inactive Republicans (3.74% of R base)
Inactive voters who don't vote in two consecutive federal elections face cancellation under federal law.
Vote Model · 2024 → 2028
2024 vote margin−14K
Dem conversion (2024)104.8%
Rep conversion (2024)87.8%
Proj. 2028 · trended−31K
Proj. 2028 · weak−42K
TRENDED = post-2016 conversion drift continues · WEAK = Dem conversion falls to 75% (bad-candidate floor)
⚠ TAKE ACTION
4 things you can do today
01Register or update your registration
If you're not registered Democrat in PA, start there. 2 minutes at the official portal.
PA Voter Services →
02Volunteer in Cumberland County
Cumberland needs 18,753 net new Democratic registrants. That doesn't happen behind a screen.
Find opportunities →
03Contact Cumberland County Dems
The county committee is the unit responsible for this quota. Attend a meeting. Run for Precinct Captain.
Cumberland Dems →
04Convert unaffiliated voters
Cumberland has 26,607 unaffiliated voters (15.9% of the rolls) — already registered, mostly via DMV. They can switch in 2 minutes. They just need a reason.
Party switch form →
No county sits this out.
CUMBERLAND QUOTA: +18,753 · STATEWIDE: +1,000,000 BY 2028