The PA
Blueprint
Blueprint
67 COUNTIES
2028 INITIATIVE
2028 INITIATIVE
Centre County
Central · Pennsylvania
Centre County is currently classified as a Slipping county, with steady erosion of the Democratic registration advantage. Democrats trail by 428 voters, compared to a 3,502-voter Democratic advantage in 2016. To put Pennsylvania back on track for 2028, Centre County needs 12,155 net new Democratic registrations.
2028 Registration Quota
+12,155
Net new Democratic registrants
Dem Advantage · 2000 → 2026
2000
−6.8K
PEAK · 2008
+5.7K
NOW · 2026
−428
Registration · The Roll
Dem registered41K
Rep registered42K
Unaffiliated Registered16K
Dem velocity (per yr)−662
Rep velocity (per yr)−351
Mobility score12.9%
Pop growth (2010→2026)7.2%
Proj. Dem · 202843K
Proj. Rep · 202843K
GAP WIDENING · Reps outpace Dems by +311/yr. At this pace another +622 by 2028.
Retention · Voters at Risk
6,012inactive Democrats
14.49% of Centre's Democratic base
For context: 3,428 inactive Republicans (8.18% of R base)
More than 1 in 10 of Centre's registered Democrats is on the federal cancellation path.
Inactive voters who don't vote in two consecutive federal elections face cancellation under federal law.
Vote Model · 2024 → 2028
2024 vote margin+2.3K
Dem conversion (2024)90.9%
Rep conversion (2024)87.7%
Proj. 2028 · trended−2.6K
Proj. 2028 · weak−9.6K
TRENDED = post-2016 conversion drift continues · WEAK = Dem conversion falls to 75% (bad-candidate floor)
⚠ TAKE ACTION
4 things you can do today
01Register or update your registration
If you're not registered Democrat in PA, start there. 2 minutes at the official portal.
PA Voter Services →
02Volunteer in Centre County
Centre needs 12,155 net new Democratic registrants. That doesn't happen behind a screen.
Find opportunities →
03Contact Centre County Dems
The county committee is the unit responsible for this quota. Attend a meeting. Run for Precinct Captain.
Centre Dems →
04Convert unaffiliated voters
Centre has 15,994 unaffiliated voters (16.7% of the rolls) — already registered, mostly via DMV. They can switch in 2 minutes. They just need a reason.
Party switch form →
The slide is not inevitable. Organize now.
CENTRE QUOTA: +12,155 · STATEWIDE: +1,000,000 BY 2028