The PA
Blueprint
Blueprint
67 COUNTIES
2028 INITIATIVE
2028 INITIATIVE
Carbon County
NE · Pennsylvania
Carbon County is currently classified as an Opportunity county, where demographic and mobility patterns favor Democratic growth. Democrats trail by 9,787 voters, compared to a 704-voter Democratic advantage in 2016. To put Pennsylvania back on track for 2028, Carbon County needs 11,169 net new Democratic registrations.
2028 Registration Quota
+11,169
Net new Democratic registrants
Dem Advantage · 2000 → 2026
2000
+3.1K
PEAK · 2008
+5.3K
NOW · 2026
−9.8K
Registration · The Roll
Dem registered14K
Rep registered24K
Unaffiliated Registered5.7K
Dem velocity (per yr)−448
Rep velocity (per yr)+633
Mobility score18.8%
Pop growth (2010→2026)24.7%
Proj. Dem · 202813K
Proj. Rep · 202826K
GAP WIDENING · Reps outpace Dems by +1.1K/yr. At this pace another +2.2K by 2028.
Retention · Voters at Risk
745inactive Democrats
5.30% of Carbon's Democratic base
For context: 845 inactive Republicans (3.54% of R base)
Inactive voters who don't vote in two consecutive federal elections face cancellation under federal law.
Vote Model · 2024 → 2028
2024 vote margin−12K
Dem conversion (2024)77.0%
Rep conversion (2024)99.7%
Proj. 2028 · trended−13K
Proj. 2028 · weak−15K
TRENDED = post-2016 conversion drift continues · WEAK = Dem conversion falls to 75% (bad-candidate floor)
⚠ TAKE ACTION
4 things you can do today
01Register or update your registration
If you're not registered Democrat in PA, start there. 2 minutes at the official portal.
PA Voter Services →
02Volunteer in Carbon County
Carbon needs 11,169 net new Democratic registrants. That doesn't happen behind a screen.
Find opportunities →
03Contact Carbon County Dems
The county committee is the unit responsible for this quota. Attend a meeting. Run for Precinct Captain.
Carbon Dems →
04Convert unaffiliated voters
Carbon has 5,716 unaffiliated voters (14.8% of the rolls) — already registered, mostly via DMV. They can switch in 2 minutes. They just need a reason.
Party switch form →
The voters are here. Go find them.
CARBON QUOTA: +11,169 · STATEWIDE: +1,000,000 BY 2028