The PA
Blueprint
Blueprint
67 COUNTIES
2028 INITIATIVE
2028 INITIATIVE
Bucks County
SE · Pennsylvania
Bucks County is currently classified in ALARM status, reflecting a severe post-2016 registration collapse. Democrats trail by 8,592 voters, compared to a 9,382-voter Democratic advantage in 2016. To put Pennsylvania back on track for 2028, Bucks County needs 33,552 net new Democratic registrations.
2028 Registration Quota
+33,552
Net new Democratic registrants
Dem Advantage · 2000 → 2026
2000
−47K
PEAK · 2008
+11K
NOW · 2026
−8.6K
Registration · The Roll
Dem registered194K
Rep registered202K
Unaffiliated Registered69K
Dem velocity (per yr)−531
Rep velocity (per yr)+1.6K
Mobility score17.0%
Pop growth (2010→2026)20.1%
Proj. Dem · 2028197K
Proj. Rep · 2028209K
GAP WIDENING · Reps outpace Dems by +2.1K/yr. At this pace another +4.2K by 2028.
Retention · Voters at Risk
13,231inactive Democrats
6.83% of Bucks's Democratic base
For context: 9,710 inactive Republicans (4.80% of R base)
Roughly 1 in 20 of Bucks's registered Democrats is on the federal cancellation path.
Inactive voters who don't vote in two consecutive federal elections face cancellation under federal law.
Vote Model · 2024 → 2028
2024 vote margin−291
Dem conversion (2024)98.8%
Rep conversion (2024)96.1%
Proj. 2028 · trended−23K
Proj. 2028 · weak−55K
TRENDED = post-2016 conversion drift continues · WEAK = Dem conversion falls to 75% (bad-candidate floor)
⚠ TAKE ACTION
4 things you can do today
01Register or update your registration
If you're not registered Democrat in PA, start there. 2 minutes at the official portal.
PA Voter Services →
02Volunteer in Bucks County
Bucks needs 33,552 net new Democratic registrants. That doesn't happen behind a screen.
Find opportunities →
03Contact Bucks County Dems
The county committee is the unit responsible for this quota. Attend a meeting. Run for Precinct Captain.
Bucks Dems →
04Convert unaffiliated voters
Bucks has 69,187 unaffiliated voters (14.8% of the rolls) — already registered, mostly via DMV. They can switch in 2 minutes. They just need a reason.
Party switch form →
This is a 911 county. Show up.
BUCKS QUOTA: +33,552 · STATEWIDE: +1,000,000 BY 2028