The PA
Blueprint
Blueprint
67 COUNTIES
2028 INITIATIVE
2028 INITIATIVE
Beaver County
SW · Pennsylvania
Beaver County is currently classified in ALARM status, reflecting a severe post-2016 registration collapse. Democrats trail by 6,108 voters, compared to a 18,448-voter Democratic advantage in 2016. To put Pennsylvania back on track for 2028, Beaver County needs 10,960 net new Democratic registrations.
2028 Registration Quota
+10,960
Net new Democratic registrants
Dem Advantage · 2000 → 2026
2000
+40K
PEAK · 2000
+40K
NOW · 2026
−6.1K
Registration · The Roll
Dem registered46K
Rep registered52K
Unaffiliated Registered12K
Dem velocity (per yr)−1.4K
Rep velocity (per yr)+1.2K
Mobility score10.1%
Pop growth (2010→2026)9.4%
Proj. Dem · 202843K
Proj. Rep · 202856K
GAP WIDENING · Reps outpace Dems by +2.5K/yr. At this pace another +5.1K by 2028.
Retention · Voters at Risk
2,126inactive Democrats
4.64% of Beaver's Democratic base
For context: 1,735 inactive Republicans (3.34% of R base)
Inactive voters who don't vote in two consecutive federal elections face cancellation under federal law.
Vote Model · 2024 → 2028
2024 vote margin−20K
Dem conversion (2024)77.0%
Rep conversion (2024)108.6%
Proj. 2028 · trended−15K
Proj. 2028 · weak−22K
TRENDED = post-2016 conversion drift continues · WEAK = Dem conversion falls to 75% (bad-candidate floor)
⚠ TAKE ACTION
4 things you can do today
01Register or update your registration
If you're not registered Democrat in PA, start there. 2 minutes at the official portal.
PA Voter Services →
02Volunteer in Beaver County
Beaver needs 10,960 net new Democratic registrants. That doesn't happen behind a screen.
Find opportunities →
03Contact Beaver County Dems
The county committee is the unit responsible for this quota. Attend a meeting. Run for Precinct Captain.
Beaver Dems →
04Convert unaffiliated voters
Beaver has 11,701 unaffiliated voters (10.7% of the rolls) — already registered, mostly via DMV. They can switch in 2 minutes. They just need a reason.
Party switch form →
This is a 911 county. Show up.
BEAVER QUOTA: +10,960 · STATEWIDE: +1,000,000 BY 2028